2022 MN Governor Race

2022 MN Governor Race

Summary

Governor Tim Walz was elected in 2018 with 53.8% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term. Physician and former state senator Scott Jensen won the Republican convention and will challenge Walz in November.

The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party (DFL) Governor Tim Walz has announced he will seek a second term in office.

Minnesota’s primary elections will be held on August 9, 2022.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 MN Governor Race

Tim Walz

Tim Walz

Current Position: Governor since 2019
Affiliation: Democrat
Former Position(s): US Representative from 2007 – 2019

Featured Quote: 
Congratulations, Minnesota! Reaching President Biden’s goal of 70% of adults with at least one vaccine dose before July 4 is a remarkable achievement. Thank you to every Minnesotan who has rolled up their sleeves.

For more information, go to this post.

Scott Jensen

Scott Jensen

Current Position: Medical Doctor
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 Governor
Former Positions: Waconia School Board from 1993 – 2002; State Senator from 2017 – 2021

My vision is not just of a return to normal for Minnesota, but of leadership that trusts and respects the people. We can have real science guiding the decisions we make. We can trust parents and students to do what’s right for them and their unique situation and not be given one size fits all solutions by lifelong bureaucrats.

Source: Campaign page

Wikipedia

The 2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic (DFL) Governor Tim Walz defeated the Republican nominee, former state senator Scott Jensen,[1] winning a second term.[2]

Jensen's advantage in rural Greater Minnesota could not overcome Walz's large lead in the Twin Cities metropolitan area. Walz won the election by a comfortable 7.7% margin, narrowly larger than Biden's 7.1% margin in 2020 but smaller than his own previous record of 11.4%. With his win, Walz gave the Minnesota Democratic–Farmer–Labor Party its fourth consecutive gubernatorial victory, the most in the party's history.[3] Furthermore, the DFL held the State House and flipped the State Senate, gaining a trifecta for the first time since 2012.[4]

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  Walz
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic (DFL)Tim Walz (incumbent) 416,973 96.54%
Democratic (DFL)Ole Savior14,9503.46%
Total votes431,923 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Caucuses and conventions

Caucus

The caucuses took place on February 1, 2022. A caucus is a local meeting where all who intend to vote for the Republican Party are able to select their precinct leadership, participate in a straw poll for governor, write and pass resolutions, and elect delegates to their local Basic Political Organizational Unit (BPOU). Those who were not elected BPOU delegates could become alternates and fill in for delegates who cannot attend the BPOU convention.[38]

BPOU conventions

A BPOU has boundaries based on the county or state senate district a voter resides in. The majority of these took place in March 2022. Elected delegates of each BPOU attended a convention relating to their district to vote on the resolutions passed at the caucus, complete party business, listen to candidates, and elect delegates to the state convention and their corresponding U.S. House District convention.

State convention

The Republican State Convention was held on May 13–14, 2022, in Rochester. 2,200 delegates were elected statewide to decide the Minnesota Republican Party's endorsement in all statewide offices. The endorsed candidate receives the party's backing, including money and resources, ahead of the August 9 primary.[39] Only one Republican, incumbent governor Arne Carlson in 1994, has won the primary without the party's endorsement. (Two Democrats, Mark Dayton and Tim Walz, won the Democratic primary against endorsed candidates.)[40]

At the convention, Scott Jensen won the endorsement with 65% of the vote on the ninth ballot, defeating Kendall Qualls. Mike Murphy, Paul Gazelka, and Neil Shah were eliminated on earlier ballots. All the candidates who contested the endorsement pledged to forego the primary if not endorsed.[40]

Qualls soon honored his pledge by announcing his plans to "return to private life."[41] Rich Stanek, the only major candidate who did not compete for the endorsement, did not file for the primary, leaving Jensen without major opposition.[24] He faced two minor candidates in the August primary.

Endorsements

Scott Jensen

State legislators

Newspapers

  • Dassel-Cokato Enterprise Dispatch[43]
  • Delano Herald-Journal[43]
  • Winsted Herald-Journal[43]

Organizations

  • Stand for Health Freedom[44]

Results

Results by county:
  Jensen
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
Republican primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanScott Jensen 288,499 89.31%
RepublicanJoyce Lynne Lacey21,3086.60%
RepublicanBob "Again" Carney Jr.13,2134.09%
Total votes323,020 100.0%

Independents and others

Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Darrell Paulsen, business consultant, nominee for lieutenant governor in 1998[7]
    • Edwin Engelmann, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2010

Results

Results by county:
  Patterson
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Paulsen
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Grassroots–Legalize Cannabis primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Grassroots—LCSteve Patterson 1,003 59.14%
Grassroots—LCDarrell Paulsen69340.86%
Total votes1,696 100.00%

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Results by county:
  McCaskel
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  Wright
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   90–100%
  No votes
Legal Marijuana Now primary results[9]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Legal Marijuana NowJames McCaskel 1,461 51.86%
Legal Marijuana NowChris Wright1,35648.14%
Total votes2,817 100.0%

Other parties

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Cory Hepola (withdrew)

Organizations

General election

Campaign

The election's central issues were the economy, rising crime, Walz's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, education, and abortion access following the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

Walz campaigned on his first-term accomplishments, such as middle-class tax cuts, while making abortion rights a prominent focus of the campaign and attacking Jensen on abortion and his COVID-19 skepticism. Jensen attacked Walz over his COVID-19 policies, crime in the Twin Cities, inflation and gas prices, and education performance.[55]

Jensen was criticized for promoting the hoax that schools provided litter boxes to students who identify as furries.[56][57]

Debates

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election debates
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanDFL
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
Scott JensenTim Walz
1August 3, 2022Minnesota FarmfestBlois Olson[58]PP
2October 18, 2022KTTC/Gray TelevisionCaitlin Alexander, Justin Betti,

Stacy Steinhagen, Dan Wolfe

[59]PP
3October 23, 2022KSTP/Hubbard BroadcastingLindsey Brown, Tom Hauser,

Laura Lee, Peter Callaghan

[60]PA
4October 28, 2022Minnesota Public Radio[61]Mike Mulcahy[62]PP
5November 4, 2022Twin Cities PBS - AlmanacEric Eskola, Cathy Wurzer[63]PA

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[64]Likely DMarch 4, 2022
Inside Elections[65]Lean DNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[66]Likely DOctober 12, 2022
Politico[67]Lean DApril 1, 2022
RCP[68]TossupJune 10, 2022
Fox News[69]Lean DMay 12, 2022
538[70]Likely DOctober 17, 2022
Elections Daily[71]Likely DNovember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Scott Jensen (R)

Executive branch officials

U.S. senators

Statewide officials

State legislators

Newspapers

Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Other
[a]
Margin
Real Clear Politics[96]Oct. 10–30, 2022Nov. 1, 202248.0%43.7%8.3%Walz +4.3
FiveThirtyEight[97]Sep. 24 – Oct. 30, 2022Nov. 4, 202249.7%40.9%9.4%Walz +8.8
Average48.9%42.3%8.8%Walz +6.6

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Scott
Jensen (R)
Hugh
McTavish (I-A)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[98][A]Oct. 26–30, 2022836 (LV)± 3.9%51%43%2%4%
St. Cloud State University[99]Oct. 10–30, 2022235 (A)± 8%56%40%4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[100]Oct. 17–19, 20221,091 (LV)± 2.9%45.8%46.3%1.4%2.5%[c]3.9%
Embold Research[101][B]Oct. 10–14, 20221,585 (LV)± 2.6%47.0%42.4%1.3%3.3%[d]6.0%
SurveyUSA[102]Sep. 30 – Oct. 3, 2022604 (LV)± 4.4%50%40%4%7%
Cygnal (R)[103][C]Sep. 24–26, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%47.6%44.2%0.4%3.0%[e]4.8%
Trafalgar Group (R)[104]Sep. 14, 20221,079 (LV)± 2.9%47.7%45.0%0.8%1.7%[f]4.9%
Mason-Dixon[105]Sep. 12–14, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%48.0%41.0%0.8%10.3%
SurveyUSA[106]Aug. 30 – Sep. 4, 2022562 (LV)± 4.9%51%33%4%12%
Gravis Marketing (I-A)[107][D]Aug. 17–19, 2022510 (LV)± 4.3%53%36%6%5%
Cygnal (R)[108][C]Jul. 18–19, 2022500 (LV)± 4.3%49.8%45.6%4.7%
Change Research[109][B]Jun. 3–8, 20221,551 (LV)± 2.6%41.8%39.8%2.7%6.6%[g]9.0%
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%44%39%4%13%
SurveyUSA[111]Jan. 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%43%40%4%13%
SurveyUSA[112]Dec. 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%48%36%5%11%
Hypothetical polling

Tim Walz vs. Michelle Benson

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Michelle
Benson (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[111]January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%45%37%8%10%
SurveyUSA[112]December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%35%4%14%

Tim Walz vs. Paul Gazelka

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Paul
Gazelka (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%43%36%7%15%
SurveyUSA[111]January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%42%37%6%15%
SurveyUSA[112]December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%34%5%14%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Marti

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Marti (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[112]December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%34%3%15%

Tim Walz vs. Mike Murphy

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Mike
Murphy (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%45%35%4%15%
SurveyUSA[111]January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%44%35%7%14%
SurveyUSA[112]December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%47%36%5%12%

Tim Walz vs. Kendall Qualls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Kendall
Qualls (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%46%34%4%15%
SurveyUSA[111]January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%43%35%6%16%

Tim Walz vs. Neil Shah

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Neil
Shah (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%44%34%6%16%
SurveyUSA[111]January 25–30, 2022501 (LV)± 5.7%45%34%7%14%
SurveyUSA[112]December 2–6, 2021506 (LV)± 5.1%48%31%5%16%

Tim Walz vs. Rich Stanek

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Rich
Stanek (R)
OtherUndecided
SurveyUSA[110]May 5–10, 2022513 (LV)± 4.9%47%37%5%11%

Tim Walz vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size[b]
Margin
of error
Tim
Walz (DFL)
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Change Research[113]August 28–31, 20211,945 (RV)± 2.5%46%44%10%

Results

2022 Minnesota gubernatorial election[114][115]
PartyCandidateVotes%±%
Democratic (DFL)
1,312,349 52.27% −1.57%
Republican1,119,94144.61%+2.18%
Legal Marijuana Now
  • James McCaskel
  • David Sandbeck
29,3461.17%N/A
Grassroots—LC
  • Steve Patterson
  • Matt Huff
22,5990.90%−1.75%
Independence
  • Hugh McTavish
  • Mike Winter
18,1560.72%N/A
Socialist Workers
  • Gabrielle Prosser
  • Kevin Dwire
7,2410.29%N/A
Write-in1,0290.04%±0.0%
Total votes2,510,661 100.0%
Turnout2,525,87361.01%
Registered electors4,140,218
Democratic (DFL) hold

By county

By county
CountyTim Walz
DFL
Scott Jensen
GOP
James McCaskel
LMN
Steve Patterson
GLC
Hugh McTavish
I-A
Gabrielle M. Prosser
SWP
Write-inMarginTotal votes
%#%#%#%#%#%#%#%#
Aitkin35.93%3,03060.59%5,1101.42%1201.06%890.78%660.23%190.00%0−24.66%−2,0808,434
Anoka47.65%74,51548.97%76,5871.27%1,9851.02%'1,6000.76%1,1880.23%3610.05%77−1.33%−2,072156,390
Becker32.12%4,73864.31%9,4861.48%2190.95%1400.95%1400.14%210.02%3−32.20%−4,74814,750
Beltrami44.90%8,12451.12%9,2481.66%3011.16%2090.76%1380.32%580.04%7−6.22%−1,12418,092
Benton31.99%5,24464.02%10,4951.49%2451.19%1950.94%1540.29%480.04%6−32.04%−5,25116,393
Big Stone35.40%86361.20%1,4921.56%380.94%230.70%170.21%50.00%0−25.80%−6292,438
Blue Earth51.98%13,78344.89%11,9041.00%2650.85%2250.88%2340.34%890.03%97.09%1,87926,518
Brown33.59%3,91563.83%7,4390.85%990.75%870.70%820.16%190.06%7−30.25%−3,52411,655
Carlton49.74%7,91345.73%7,2741.82%2891.23%1961.09%1740.24%380.08%124.02%63915,908
Carver45.89%24,88851.77%28,0780.72%3910.70%3810.70%3770.14%740.05%25−5.88%−3,19054,239
Cass33.32%5,07163.25%9,6261.45%2201.10%1680.71%1080.14%220.01%2−29.93%−4,55515,219
Chippewa33.98%1,67663.16%3,1150.81%400.97%480.85%420.14%70.04%2−29.19%−1,4394,932
Chisago35.95%9,32160.35%15,6471.28%3321.43%3710.78%2020.19%480.02%4−24.40%−6,32625,929
Clay50.07%11,13945.84%10,1991.81%4020.99%2200.83%1850.40%890.03%74.23%94022,248
Clearwater24.60%87971.37%2,5501.43%511.34%480.84%300.20%70.11%4−46.82%−1,6713,573
Cook67.36%2,17129.72%9580.84%270.87%280.87%280.22%70.06%237.66%1,2133,223
Cottonwood29.51%1,36366.83%3,0871.34%621.02%471.06%490.24%110.00%0−37.32%−1,7244,619
Crow Wing34.86%11,38861.80%20,1881.41%4590.99%3240.75%2460.13%410.03%10−26.95%−8,80032,666
Dakota55.81%112,00341.47%83,2201.03%2,0610.71%1,4310.68%1,3650.22%4510.04%8214.35%28,783200,695
Dodge34.88%3,28762.14%5,8550.88%830.99%930.89%840.18%170.02%2−27.26%−2,5689,423
Douglas32.25%6,35864.91%12,7971.02%2010.83%1640.82%1610.12%230.03%6−32.67%−6,43919,716
Faribault33.17%2,00063.78%3,8461.11%670.86%520.88%530.13%80.03%2−30.62%−1,8466,030
Fillmore40.09%3,80957.17%5,4320.91%860.94%890.72%680.17%160.01%1−17.08%−1,6239,502
Freeborn41.04%5,35055.71%7,2621.31%1711.05%1370.75%980.12%150.01%1−14.67%−1,91213,035
Goodhue43.01%9,94053.69%12,4071.15%2661.03%2390.89%2050.18%420.02%5−10.68%−2,46723,109
Grant35.66%1,05459.91%1,7711.52%451.29%381.25%370.17%50.10%3−24.28%−7172,956
Hennepin70.34%405,01326.81%154,3931.03%5,9390.72%4,1500.58%3,3260.42%2,4120.05%29643.55%250,620575,825
Houston41.21%3,60455.73%4,8741.46%1280.79%690.70%610.10%90.00%0−14.52%−1,2708,745
Hubbard34.47%3,67261.87%6,5901.46%1551.05%1120.99%1050.11%120.03%3−27.40%−2,91810,652
Isanti30.63%5,77865.04%12,2711.70%3201.47%2770.93%1750.20%370.02%4−34.42%−6,49318,866
Itasca42.17%9,01753.73%11,4881.65%3521.24%2650.94%2000.20%430.04%8−11.56%−2,47121,381
Jackson29.59%1,35066.97%3,0551.12%511.05%480.99%450.20%90.04%2−37.39%−1,7054,562
Kanabec31.80%2,27763.99%4,5821.68%1201.58%1130.81%580.13%90.01%1−32.19%−2,3057,161
Kandiyohi35.20%6,42161.85%11,2811.12%2040.81%1480.77%1410.17%310.04%7−26.65%−4,86018,240
Kittson35.77%68960.23%1,1601.92%371.30%250.67%130.10%20.00%0−24.45%−4711,926
Koochiching39.36%2,05856.47%2,9531.91%1001.07%560.99%520.11%60.04%2−17.12%−8955,229
Lac qui Parle34.98%1,10261.43%1,9350.83%261.37%431.21%380.19%60.00%0−26.44%−8333,150
Lake52.46%2,97044.18%2,5011.27%721.20%680.62%350.26%150.00%08.28%4695,661
Lake of the Woods25.88%47370.95%1,2971.31%240.77%141.04%190.05%10.00%0−45.08%−8241,828
Le Sueur34.72%4,59161.89%8,1841.28%1691.06%1400.81%1070.14%190.05%7−27.18%−3,59313,224
Lincoln29.09%71067.72%1,6531.31%321.19%290.49%120.12%30.04%1−38.65%−9432,441
Lyon33.29%3,26463.91%6,2670.98%960.67%660.88%860.15%150.06%6−30.64%−3,0039,806
Mahnomen39.48%65154.46%8982.18%361.27%212.06%340.42%70.06%1−14.99%−2471,649
Marshall23.45%95473.01%2,9701.23%501.01%411.06%430.20%80.02%1−49.57%−2,0164,068
Martin29.49%2,47167.37%5,6441.21%1010.97%810.75%630.12%100.05%4−37.89%−3,1738,378
McLeod31.42%5,17165.42%10,7681.15%1900.88%1450.87%1430.22%370.02%3−34.01%−5,59716,460
Meeker29.71%3,21467.01%7,2491.16%1251.00%1080.88%950.18%200.03%3−37.31%−4,03510,817
Mille Lacs30.59%3,39065.05%7,2091.59%1761.45%1611.02%1130.23%250.04%4−34.47%−3,81911,082
Morrison22.32%3,45174.58%11,5291.18%1830.86%1330.85%1320.19%290.01%1−52.26%−8,07815,459
Mower46.58%6,57349.91%7,0431.36%1921.20%1700.67%940.28%400.00%0−3.33%−47014,112
Murray26.83%1,05169.67%2,7291.23%480.64%251.25%490.28%110.05%2−42.86%−1,6783,917
Nicollet51.78%7,92945.46%6,9621.01%1540.65%990.80%1220.25%380.03%56.32%96715,314
Nobles30.48%1,85465.97%4,0131.43%870.72%441.12%680.25%150.02%1−35.50%−2,1596,083
Norman37.01%92957.69%1,4482.07%521.31%331.24%310.20%50.24%6−20.73%−5192,510
Olmsted55.00%37,47142.66%29,0680.85%5760.65%4450.60%4120.20%1360.02%1312.34%8,40368,134
Otter Tail31.37%8,95065.26%18,6181.25%3580.97%2780.89%2540.16%470.05%13−33.90%−9,66828,531
Pennington31.75%1,73463.42%3,4641.94%1061.08%591.50%820.27%150.02%1−31.68%−1,7305,462
Pine34.61%4,29061.32%7,6011.70%2111.44%1780.73%900.16%200.02%3−26.72%−3,31112,396
Pipestone22.89%87274.01%2,8191.00%380.97%370.95%360.18%70.00%0−51.12%−1,9473,809
Polk31.08%3,40065.64%7,1801.35%1480.90%980.73%800.21%230.05%5−34.57%−3,78010,939
Pope34.70%1,97062.50%3,5490.88%500.76%430.83%470.16%90.09%5−27.83%−1,5795,678
Ramsey71.42%155,85025.10%54,7711.20%2,6261.03%2,2470.61%1,3380.51%1,1180.06%12746.35%101,079218,204
Red Lake30.13%48365.32%1,0471.87%300.87%141.50%240.19%30.06%1−35.21%−5641,603
Redwood26.37%1,69871.13%4,5811.10%710.67%430.54%350.16%100.02%1−44.77%−2,8836,440
Renville29.89%1,88366.55%4,1921.43%901.11%700.81%510.14%90.03%2−36.67%−2,3096,299
Rice50.21%14,25246.44%13,1821.24%3530.94%2670.69%1950.45%1270.01%33.77%1,07028,382
Rock27.51%1,13969.49%2,8770.99%410.97%400.82%340.17%70.02%1−41.99%−1,7384,140
Roseau23.61%1,53573.57%4,7831.08%700.78%51J0.82%530.14%90.00%0−49.96%−3,2486,501
Scott45.40%30,87051.90%35,2891.05%7160.71%4840.66%4460.18%1240.05%31−6.50%−4,41967,991
Sherburne32.90%13,69763.70%26,5171.29%5371.06%4430.83%3450.18%740.02%8−30.80%−12,82041,629
Sibley28.80%1,90768.24%4,5191.10%730.82%540.77%510.21%140.03%2−39.46%−2,6126,622
St. Louis57.66%53,55138.08%35,3721.74%1,6161.25%1,1590.83%'7690.36%3340.04%3919.58%18,17992,879
Stearns36.88%24,16259.79%39,1711.17%7671.02%6650.83%5420.23%1510.04%27−22.92%−15,00965,512
Steele39.28%6,49857.33%9,4851.26%2081.06%1760.80%1330.21%'340.03%5−18.06%−2,98716,544
Stevens36.93%1,49060.40%2,4370.89%360.69%280.69%280.30%120.05%2−23.48%−9474,035
Swift35.42%1,38961.42%2,4091.15%450.84%330.71%280.20%80.13%5−26.04%−1,0203,922
Todd24.39%2,64971.63%7,7801.48%1611.10%1201.08%1170.28%300.02%2−47.25%−5,13110,861
Traverse33.51%51962.49%9681.55%241.10%171.10%170.13%20.06%1−29.01%−4491,549
Wabasha37.46%4,02059.32%6,3661.11%1190.89%960.96%1030.24%260.01%1−21.86%−2,34610,732
Wadena25.25%1,51171.20%4,2601.39%831.12%670.87%520.17%100.00%0−45.95%−2,7495,983
Waseca33.91%2,84362.16%5,2121.41%1181.12%941.11%930.25%210.02%2−28.26%−2,3698,385
Washington54.15%70,81443.18%56,4720.93%1,2120.78%1,0190.68%8890.19%2540.04%5410.97%14,342130,768
Watonwan37.35%1,44560.09%2,3251.06%410.90%350.44%170.10%40.03%1−22.75%−8803,869
Wilkin27.13%70468.71%1,7831.58%410.89%231.08%280.39%100.12%3−41.63%−1,0792,595
Winona48.35%9,88948.47%9,9131.22%2500.86%1760.78%1590.30%620.00%1−0.12%−2420,451
Wright34.90%23,11661.88%40,9931.10%7291.01%6710.87%5790.17%1140.03%21−27.00%−17,87766,244
Yellow Medicine29.77%1,29966.90%2,9191.33%580.99%430.87%380.05%20.05%2−37.15%−1,6204,363
Totals52.25%1,312,34944.59%1,119,9411.17%29,3460.90%22,5990.72%18,1560.29%7,2410.04%1,0297.66%192,4082,511,690

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Walz and Jensen each won 4 of 8 congressional districts, all of which voted for the same party in the simultaneous House Elections.[116]

DistrictWalzJensenRepresentative
1st45%52%Brad Finstad
2nd53%45%Angie Craig
3rd59%38%Dean Phillips
4th68%29%Betty McCollum
5th81%16%Ilhan Omar
6th40%57%Tom Emmer
7th31%65%Michelle Fischbach
8th44%52%Pete Stauber

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ McCaskel with 1.2%, Patterson with 0.9%, and Prosser with 0.4%
  4. ^ McCaskel (LMN) with 1.4%, Prosser (SW) with 1.0%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.9%
  5. ^ McCaskel (LMN) with 1.2%, Prosser (SW) with 1.2%, and Patterson (GLC) with 0.6%
  6. ^ McCaskel with 1.4%, Patterson with 0.2%, and Prosser with 0.1%
  7. ^ "The candidate from either one of the legalize marijuana parties (Legal Marijuana Now or Grassroots Legalize Cannabis)"

Partisan clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by KSTP-TV
  2. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by MinnPost
  3. ^ a b This poll was sponsored by Jensen's campaign
  4. ^ This poll was sponsored by McTavish's campaign

References

  1. ^ "Minnesota Governor Election Results". The New York Times. November 9, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  2. ^ "Minnesota election results: Walz re-elected governor". Fox 9 News. November 8, 2022. Retrieved November 9, 2022.
  3. ^ Ihekoronye, Hannah (2022-11-09). "Minnesota governor: Walz wins after sharp-elbowed race". Sahan Journal. Retrieved 2022-11-16.
  4. ^ "Minnesota Democrats win Capitol 'trifecta'". MPR News. 2022-11-09. Retrieved 2023-06-18.
  5. ^ "Preparing For Re-Election Push, Walz Campaign Announces It's Hiring Staff, Breaking Fundraising Records". WCCO-TV. 2020-02-02. Retrieved 2020-06-28.
  6. ^ a b "Gov. Walz makes it official: He's running for a second term". MPR News. October 19, 2021.
  7. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Candidate Filings – 2022 State General Election". Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  8. ^ "olesavior.org". Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  9. ^ a b c d "2022 State Canvassing Board Certificate State Primary and State of Minnesota Canvassing Report". Minnesota Secretary of State.
  10. ^ Croman, John (2020-05-14). "Jensen wins GOP endorsement for Minnesota governor". Kare11. Retrieved 2020-05-14. All had pledged to honor the party's endorsement and forego the right to run in the Aug. 9 GOP primary, assuming there was no deadlock.
  11. ^ "Super Bowl Champ to be Jensen's running mate for MN governor". ABC 6 NEWS. 2022-03-04. Retrieved 2022-03-05.
  12. ^ "Vote Bob Again". Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  13. ^ "Joyce Lacey for Governor". Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  14. ^ Tribune, Emma Nelson Star. "Michelle Benson bows out of Minnesota governor's race". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2022-04-29.
  15. ^ Bourke, Theresa (September 13, 2021). "Scott Jensen visits Brainerd, addresses anti-mask supporters at NP Center". Brainerd Dispatch. Archived from the original on September 13, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  16. ^ "Gazelka on run for governor: "I'm at least considering it."". WCCO. February 8, 2021.
  17. ^ "Benson running for Minnesota governor; Gazelka resigns as majority leader". KIMT News. September 2021. Retrieved 2021-09-01.
  18. ^ "Gazelka enters race for governor". MPR News. September 8, 2021. Retrieved 2021-09-08.
  19. ^ "Mike Marti to Suspend Campaign for Governor". Facebook.com. Mike Marti. December 13, 2021. Retrieved December 13, 2021. Thank you to everyone who has supported our campaign. While I have enjoyed campaigning across our beautiful state and getting to know so many of the delegates, I feel it is best at this time to suspend my campaign for Governor.
  20. ^ a b Pugmire, Tim (December 8, 2021). "Five GOP candidates for governor say they've had COVID-19". MPR News. Archived from the original on December 9, 2021. Retrieved December 9, 2021.
  21. ^ Van Oot, Torey (January 9, 2022). "Another candidate enters race for Minnesota governor". Axios.
  22. ^ "Just in: @KQforMN won't go to primary. He says he'll "transition back to private life." #mngov".
  23. ^ "Former Hennepin County Sheriff Rich Stanek Running For Governor". 2022-02-01. Retrieved 2022-02-01.
  24. ^ a b c "Stanek, Hepola drop out of race for Minnesota governor". MinnPost. 1 Jun 2022. Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  25. ^ "Home". Rob Barrett, Jr. Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  26. ^ "Former Viking Matt Birk having early conversations about Minnesota Gubernatorial run". WCCO. 2020-12-01. Retrieved 2020-12-05.
  27. ^ Jensen, Scott [@drscottjensen] (April 25, 2021). "We're so honored to have Vikings legend and Super Bowl Champion @BirkMatt and Adrianna Birk join our growing team! They will become our campaign chairs and help us shape education in Minnesota. We couldn't be more thrilled! JOIN our WINNING Team: https://t.co/lgi6f9NIVp #MNGov https://t.co/OdWUvp3ZkM" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 25, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021 – via Twitter.
  28. ^ "Join Matt Birk and Dr. Scott Jensen!".
  29. ^ Desmond, Declan (September 5, 2021). "Ousted MN GOP chair mulls return to politics, possible run for governor". Bring Me The News. Retrieved 2021-09-08.
  30. ^ Montemayor, Stephen (2020-01-23). "MyPillow inventor open to speculation about 2022 bid for Minnesota governor". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2020-01-24.
  31. ^ @KarinHousley. "I'm excited to run for re-election!". Twitter. Retrieved 2022-03-08.
  32. ^ Stephen Montemayor (January 3, 2021). "GOP field for 2022 Minnesota governor's race already taking shape". StarTribune.
  33. ^ Nelson, Joe (April 29, 2021). "On Kimmel, MyPillow's Lindell says 'I wouldn't run for dogcatcher right now'". Bring Me The News.
  34. ^ Keen, Judy (August 22, 2019). "Jason Lewis to challenge Tina Smith for U.S. Senate seat". Star Tribune. Retrieved 2021-04-26.
  35. ^ Ferguson, Dana (February 21, 2022). "State Sen. Carla Nelson won't seek 1st District seat left vacant after Jim Hagedorn death". Duluth News Tribune. Retrieved February 22, 2022.
  36. ^ Condon, Patrick (February 20, 2021). "Rep. Stauber 'keeping all options open' regarding Minnesota governor bid". Star Tribune.
  37. ^ "Republican Rep. Pete Stauber says he won't run for Minnesota governor in 2022". KSTP-TV. 2021-03-13. Archived from the original on 2021-03-14. Retrieved 2021-03-14.
  38. ^ "Action Center". mngop.com. Minnesota GOP. Archived from the original on March 18, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  39. ^ "MN GOP to Host 2022 State Convention in Rochester". mngop.com. Minnesota GOP. August 11, 2021. Archived from the original on February 16, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
  40. ^ a b "Scott Jensen wins Republican endorsement for governor at dramatic state convention". MinnPost. May 14, 2022. Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  41. ^ Van Oot, Torey (May 15, 2022). "Minnesota candidate for governor Scott Jensen wins GOP endorsement". Axios. Retrieved 10 Jun 2022.
  42. ^ a b "'Time to turn the page': Rep. John Thompson says he plans to stay in office as an Independent after DFL oust". kare11.com. Kare 11 News. September 15, 2021. Retrieved February 16, 2022.
  43. ^ a b c d e f "Choosing our next governor - There's hope for better days - An Endorsement of Scott Jensen for Governor -- Herald-Journal" (PDF). 2022-02-11. Retrieved 2022-02-11.
  44. ^ a b "Dr. Scott Jensen for Minnesota Governor | Stand For Health Freedom". November 17, 2021.
  45. ^ Dryden, Dené (September 8, 2021). "Sen. Gazelka Stops in St. Cloud Hours After Announcing Gubernatorial Campaign". KNSI. Archived from the original on September 9, 2021. Retrieved October 27, 2021.
  46. ^ "Minnesota scientist cites COVID shutdowns in governor bid". MPR News. April 7, 2022. Retrieved 2022-04-08.
  47. ^ Uren, Adam (May 31, 2022). "Andrew Yang-backed Cory Hepola abandons gubernatorial bid". Bring Me The News. Retrieved 2022-05-31.
  48. ^ "Cory Hepola Names School Administrator Uselman As Running Mate". WCCO-TV. 2022-05-17.
  49. ^ "Brandon Millholland-Corcoran renounces candidacy for First Congressional District". KEYC. March 7, 2022.
  50. ^ "After decamping from Senate DFL, Bakk finds himself back in the middle of state politics". February 11, 2021.
  51. ^ "Christopher Chamberlin". Ballotpedia.
  52. ^ Painter, Richard [@RWPUSA] (March 15, 2021). "Minnesota's government has been corrupted by money. Sulfide mining companies want to destroy the Lake Superior watershed and Boundary Waters. @Tim_Walz won't stop them. That's why I'm exploring an independent reform ticket run for governor. We're fed up! https://t.co/GJ5bEtPiNJ" (Tweet). Archived from the original on March 15, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021 – via Twitter.
  53. ^ Morawczynski, Sean (February 24, 2022). "Richard Painter announces MN-01 candidacy". www.kttc.com.
  54. ^ "Minnesota's third-party governor hopeful is the most "vibes-only" candidate ever". March 15, 2022.
  55. ^ "Where Minnesota gubernatorial candidates stand on core issues". October 13, 2022.
  56. ^ Mullin, Andrew (2022-01-25). "Andrew Mullin: Recent Midland 'furry' scare is transphobia in disguise". Midland Daily News. Retrieved 2023-01-01.
  57. ^ "Scott Jensen faces criticism for repeating hoax that schools are installing litter boxes". October 3, 2022.
  58. ^ [1]
  59. ^ [2]
  60. ^ [3]
  61. ^ "Walz, Jensen clash in final debate before Election Day". MPR News. October 28, 2022. Retrieved 2022-10-28.
  62. ^ [4]
  63. ^ [5]
  64. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  65. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  66. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  67. ^ "Minnesota Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  68. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  69. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  70. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  71. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  72. ^ McGuire, Mary (October 22, 2022). "VP Kamala Harris talks reproductive rights, meets Gov. Walz in Twin Cities". FOX 9.
  73. ^ "Obama endorses Walz in Minnesota governor's race". November 2, 2022.
  74. ^ "Walz, Jensen mobilize voters in final campaign sprint before Tuesday election". November 5, 2022.
  75. ^ "Sen. Smith, medical professionals say governor's race will determine future of health care for women". November 3, 2022.
  76. ^ Kapos, Shia (October 3, 2022). "Pritzker, Bailey, liars and debates". Politico. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  77. ^ "Former Minnesota Gov. Ventura endorses Gov. Walz, citing strong leadership, COVID protections". Star Tribune.
  78. ^ a b "Governor Walz and Lt. Governor Flanagan Release 2022 Legislative Endorsements". www.redlakenationnews.com. September 26, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  79. ^ "EDITORIAL | Star Tribune Editorial Board endorsement: Re-elect Tim Walz for steady leadership". Star Tribune.
  80. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m "Tim Walz's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  81. ^ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Governor Tim Walz and Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan of Minnesota for Reelection". Human Rights Campaign. July 14, 2022.
  82. ^ "Political Endorsements — Inter Faculty Organization". www.ifo.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  83. ^ "IUOE Local 49 Endorses Walz for Reelection". local49.org. September 1, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  84. ^ "DFL Party Endorses Incumbents Walz, Flanagan, Blaha, Ellison". CBS News. May 20, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  85. ^ "Minnesota Medical Association - MEDPAC Endorses Walz for Governor". www.mnmed.org. Archived from the original on October 24, 2022. Retrieved October 24, 2022.
  86. ^ "Nurses endorse candidates who will put Patients Before Profits in statewide executive races". mnnurses.org. July 21, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  87. ^ "Donald Trump endorses Scott Jensen for Minnesota governor". www.duluthnewstribune.com. October 26, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  88. ^ "Lt. Governor Candidate Matt Birk Visits Crookston Municipal Airport on "Heal Minnesota" Plane Tour - Krox". November 2022. Archived from the original on November 4, 2022. Retrieved November 4, 2022.
  89. ^ Hanley, Ashley (October 27, 2022). "National political group bringing Iowa Governor Reynolds to MN to campaign for Jensen". KTOE AM 1420 - 102.7 FM. Retrieved October 27, 2022.
  90. ^ "Endorsement: Minnesota should hire Dr. Scott Jensen for next governor". Rochester Post Bulletin. October 22, 2022.
  91. ^ "Walz discusses higher education Thursday, Jensen endorsed by Minn. Police & Peace Officers Association". kstp.com. October 6, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  92. ^ "NFIB MN PAC Endorses Dr. Scott Jensen for Minnesota Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 13, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  93. ^ "Minnesota Grades & Endorsements". nrapvf.org. NRA-PVF. Archived from the original on November 8, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2023.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: unfit URL (link)
  94. ^ "Scott Jensen's Ratings and Endorsements". justfacts.votesmart.org. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  95. ^ "Dr. Scott Jensen wins GOP endorsement for Minnesota governor". Associated Press. May 14, 2022. Retrieved October 26, 2022.
  96. ^ Real Clear Politics
  97. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  98. ^ SurveyUSA
  99. ^ St. Cloud State University
  100. ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
  101. ^ Embold Research
  102. ^ SurveyUSA
  103. ^ Cygnal (R)
  104. ^ Trafalgar Group (R)
  105. ^ Mason-Dixon
  106. ^ SurveyUSA
  107. ^ Gravis Marketing (I-A)
  108. ^ Cygnal (R)
  109. ^ Change Research
  110. ^ a b c d e f SurveyUSA
  111. ^ a b c d e f SurveyUSA
  112. ^ a b c d e f SurveyUSA
  113. ^ Change Research
  114. ^ "2022 GENERAL ELECTION RESULTS". Minnesota Secretary of State.
  115. ^ "- Election Results".
  116. ^ "Home - Election Results".

Official campaign websites

    Discuss

    OnAir membership is required. The lead Moderator for the discussions is Scott Joy. We encourage civil, honest, and safe discourse. For more information on commenting and giving feedback, see our Comment Guidelines.

    This is an open discussion on the contents of this post.

    Home Forums Open Discussion

    Viewing 0 reply threads
    Viewing 0 reply threads
    • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.
    Skip to toolbar